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Therecentupheavalinthefinancialsectorhassomepeopleinapanic,mostpeoplebewildered,andothersbusyaimingtheirpointerfingersatwhomevertheythinkisguiltyofdoingsomethingthatcontributedtothisproblem.Thepresidentialcandidatesareinthelattercategory.Theyaren’tquitesurewhattodoorwhattosay,butthatdoesn’tstopthemfromsayingsomething,anyway.
JohnMcCainmadeadecisivestatement,attemptingtoshowleadership,buthisstatementwasnotaverysmartone.BarackObama,bycontrast,simplyblamedRepublicans.
Fewthingsareassimpleaspoliticiansmakethemseeminanelectionyear.Politicalcandidatessucceedbyissuingpointedstatementsthatareeasytounderstandandthatconnectwithvoters;truthandaccuracyarenottheprimaryconcerns.
Theimportantthingrightnowistofigureoutwhatactuallyhappenedinthefinancialsector,andfixthingssoitcan’thappenagain.Wemustignorethetremendousamountofspeculationaboutwhat“might”happen,andthedoomandgloomsoothsayerswhotellusthattheskyisfallingorthattheendoftheworlddrawethnye.
Becauseofitscomplexitythecurrentfinancialsituationinvitessimplepoliticalmessagesthatconnectwithvoters;itdoesnotlenditselftofullexplanationsthatilluminate.
So,whenSen.Obamasaysthat“it’stheRepublicans’fault,”heisexpressingasimpleideathatalotofpeoplebuyinto,butdoesn’texplainanything.ItisasillyoversimplificationunworthyofamanwhowouldbePresident.Itappealstoemotionalprejudicesandignoresinconvenientrealities,andmostimportantofall,itisjustplainwrong.
WhenSen.McCainsuggestedthatSecuritiesandExchangeCommissionheadChristopherCoxdidn’tdohisjob,andifhewerepresidenthewouldfireMr.Cox,theSenatordidn’tofferspecifics.We’llknowmoreaboutMr.Cox’sroleastimepassesandwelearnmoreofthedetails,andcanthenjudgeifMr.McCain’ssimplemessagetovotersaboutfiringChrisCoxwasaproperevaluationofthesituation.
Sen.ObamadescribedthecurrentagonyasthemostseriousfinancialcrisissincetheGreatDepression,”ignoringalltherecessionssincethen,eventheonesinthe80sandtheonefollowingthe9-11attacks,botharguablymoreseriouscrises.Ofcourse,itremainstobeseenjusthowseriousthisproblemwillultimatelybe,butgivenMr.Obama’sabysmalunderstandingofthingseconomic,wewoulddowelltotakehisprognosticationswithagrainofsalt.
Therootofthisproblemisthehousingmarket’ssubprimeloancrisis.Asubprimeloanisaloanmadetosomeonewhoundernormalcircumstanceswouldnotqualifyforaloan,basedupontheirincomeandtheirabilitytomakepayments.Thatbegsthequestion:Whywouldabankmakealoantosomeoneitbelievesisunabletomakethepayments?
TheCommunityReinvestmentAct(CRA)wasgivenlifeduringtheCarteradministration,andempowersfourfederalfinancialsupervisoryagenciestooverseetheperformanceoffinancialinstitutionsinmeetingthecreditneedsoftheirentirecommunity,includinglow-andmoderate-incomeneighborhoods.Wheneveraninstitutionwantstomakevirtuallyanychangeinitsbusinessoperation,suchasmerging,openingupanewbranch,orgettingintoanewlineofbusiness,itmustfirstprovetoregulatorsthatithasmadeampleloanstothegovernment'spreferredborrowers,thoseinlow-andmiddle-incomeneighborhoodswhonormallywouldnotqualifyforaloan.Lenderswithlowratingscanbefinedbythegovernment.
TheCarteradministrationusedtaxdollarstofundnumerouscommunitygroupsthathelpedthegovernmentenforcetheCRAbyfilingpetitionsagainstbankswhose“cooperativeness”didn’tmeasureup,andsometimesstoppingtheireffortstoexpandtheiroperations.Banksrespondedbygivingmoneytothecommunitygroupsandbymakingmoreloans.OneofthoseorganizationswastheAssociationofCommunityOrganizationsforReformNow(ACORN).AnactiveassociateofACORNinthe90swasayoungpublic-interestattorneynamedBarackObama.
So,startingin1977thefederalgovernmentbegan“encouraging”—perhaps“strong-arming”isamoreaccurateterm—bankstomakeloanstopeopletowhomtheynormallywouldnotmakealoan,andin1995theClintonadministrationpushedthroughrevisionstotheCRAthatsubstantiallyincreasedthenumberandamountoftheseloans.
Allofthebadloansweren’tcausedbytheCRA,ofcourse,butbillionsofdollarsinCRAloansdidgobad,asshouldhavebeenexpected.WhenFannieMaeandFreddieMaccamealongandmadeitpossibleforbankstoescapetheriskassociatedwiththeseill-advisedloans,conditionswerejustrightforalargeportionofthebankingindustry,eveninstitutionsthatdidnotfallundertheCRA,tobecomeinvolvedinmakingloanstounqualifiedborrowers,andbanksparticipatedinbignumbers.
Thefederalgovernment’sfingerprintsarealloverthiscrisis,andtheDemocratswhoaretodaysorighteouslyindignantandblamingtheadministrationareatleastasguiltyastheRepublicans.
JamesH.Shott,aresidentofBluefield,Va.,isaBluefieldDailyTelegraphcolumnist.HeblogsatObservations
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